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Paramount’s Paradox

Edgar Bronfman Jr., former CEO of Warner Music Group and heir to the Seagram fortune, has submitted a bid to take control of Paramount, the media conglomerate that owns CBS, MTV, and the iconic movie studio behind films like “The Godfather” and “Mission: Impossible.” This move adds a new chapter to the ongoing struggle for control of Paramount, a once-dominant force in television and film.

The bid comes in the midst of a complicated saga that began months ago. In July, Skydance, a Hollywood studio founded by David Ellison, reached an agreement to acquire the shares of Shari Redstone, Paramount’s controlling shareholder, along with other stakeholders. The deal, valued at around $8 billion, included a 45-day “go-shop” provision, allowing Paramount to explore better offers.

Bronfman, leveraging this window of opportunity, is leading a bidding group that includes producer Steven Paul, known for the “Baby Geniuses” franchise. As the “go-shop” period nears its end, Paramount’s response to this offer will soon become clear. Extending the negotiation window would indicate serious consideration of Bronfman’s bid.

According to sources, Bronfman has proposed $4.3 billion for control of Paramount, significantly less than the company’s estimated $25 billion valuation when Viacom and CBS merged five years ago. His offer would give him ownership of National Amusements, Paramount’s parent company, effectively placing the media conglomerate under his control.

Bronfman, a seasoned media executive, is reportedly interested in assuming the role of CEO at Paramount if his bid succeeds. In recent weeks, he has engaged in discussions with Shari Redstone, further signaling his commitment to the deal.

Paramount has faced significant challenges over the past decade, with the decline of the cable TV business and the disruptive rise of streaming. While Paramount is banking on the growth of its streaming services, Paramount+ and Pluto TV, investors remain skeptical, leading to a drop in the company’s stock value. Despite these challenges, Paramount’s movie studio and extensive library of films and TV shows remain valuable assets.

The outcome of Bronfman’s bid will have profound implications. A successful takeover would mark the end of the Redstone family’s media dynasty, established by Sumner Redstone through a series of bold acquisitions in the late 20th century. However, Bronfman faces tough competition from Ellison, who is backed by his father, Larry Ellison, founder of Oracle. Skydance’s existing deal with Paramount also includes a $400 million breakup fee, adding further complexity to the situation.

As Paramount’s special committee evaluates Bronfman’s offer, they must weigh the risks and rewards carefully. Alienating investors by dismissing the bid could be costly, but pursuing it might mean losing a well-capitalized partner in Skydance. The decision will shape the future of one of Hollywood’s most storied companies.